The district that are expected to make the difference in the next parliamentary elections

2 Shtator 2020, 11:42, English CNA

The next parliamentary elections are expected to take place in the spring of 2021, where the novelty is the opening of candidate lists. So, from a regional proportional system with closed lists, it has been switched to a regional proportional system with open lists.

Not 100 per cent, because 30 per cent of them will be closed. But, this issue will continue to be discussed in the Political Council for electoral reform. CNA.al has analyzed the data regarding the constituencies which are expected to make the difference in the result of the next elections.

The DP seems to have more authority and a larger vote margin, or greater influx in the North.

Middle Albania seems to be under the control of the left, and the south as well. But, if we analyze it calmly, it turns out that the municipalities of the North, where the PD has influence, so Dibra, Kukësi, Lezha or even Shkodra, the differences of mandates are small, as they have a few mandates, except Shkodra.

Meanwhile, the rest where the bastions of the left are stronger. Fieri, Vlora or Elbasani, has a larger number of seats, starting from 16 in Fier, 14 in Elbasan, or 11 in Vlora. On the other hand, Korça is always a region that has leaned to the left, and there are 11 seats.

So the differences that can be created by single or double mandates that seem to favor the left. But, opposition experts reject this favoritism, emphasizing that the anti-Rama spirit will demolish many bastions of the left, and many dissatisfied socialist will vote for the only alternative left as hope, which according to them is Lulzim Basha.

On the other hand, the disadvantage in these regions is that the opposition doesn?t run any of the municipalities of Albania, except that of Shkodra, where Voltana Ademi continues to exert pressure. All other municipalities are managed by socialist leaders.

So, this is another electoral disadvantage, after the catastrophe that Lulzim Basha built with his own hands with the boycott of the 2019 local elections. But, it is difficult to make a substantial analysis of the votes in these areas, or the flows that have the parties, because Lulzim Basha has never entered the elections, since he took over the leadership of the DP. The introduction in them has been formal, and the votes are almost illegible.

In the local elections of 2015, he declared until the last moment that he wouldn?t enter. In the end he entered, but took a few municipalities with names not very politically connected, and on the other hand in the municipal councils the representation of the opposition in some areas was almost negligible.

But then in 2017 he entered the ?Tent? and got 450.000 votes, with allies inside. So again the result was illegible, and wasn?t understood the really representation given by the electorate. And in this case, adding the claims for manipulations in the Durrës region.

Further, reading the result of 2019 local elections, where again the opposition didn?t participate, whether there was a turnout of 20 or 23%, or whether 700.000 or 800.000 people voted, is another discussion.

So, with a disadvantage in the regions, the fact that the opposition does not manage any of the municipalities, but also the complete lack of reading of reality and their trend during the time that the opposition was led by Lulzim Basha, that there will be a lot of problems. This is adding to the fact that as opposition will run the SMI, or PDIU and PBDNJ, which have been Edi Rama?s allied party during his first term./CNA.al

The official link of the article is this:

Qarqet që pritet të bëjnë diferencën në zgjedhjet e ardhshme parlamentare